Watchdog Credibility Score (WCS) Explained

WCS runs from 0.1 to 99.9 and answers: how much should I trust this expert's track record? It is not raw win percentage and not a dollar-profit estimate.

Why WCS Exists

Win rate alone misleads. 80% on 10 picks is less trustworthy than 58% on 2,000. WCS combines win rate with sample size, recency, consistency, and pick difficulty.

What Goes Into WCS

• Win rate — Recent picks count more than old ones.
• Volume — Larger track records earn more confidence.
• Breadth — Strong performance across multiple sports can help.
• Consistency — Steady results beat boom-and-bust swings.
• Difficulty — Beating expectations on harder markets helps.

Expert Tiers

Tier badges summarize profitability, not WCS: Diamond, Elite, Proven, Rising, Unproven, Cold.

Where You See WCS

Home leaderboards, Expert Ratings, expert profiles, and Hot Picks.

Window WCS (this month, yesterday) only counts picks in that range, so it is often lower than all-time WCS.

What WCS Does Not Include

• Real betting odds or juice.
• Dollar profit (see Unit Profit on profiles).

How Often WCS Updates

Recalculated on a regular schedule (typically nightly) from settled picks. Pending picks do not affect the score.

How to Use WCS

Rank and compare experts when win rates look similar. Pair with pick volume, recent form, and category strengths. For dollar estimates, use the profile's unit-profit tool.